Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Wilkinson is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Niklas Backstrom has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Niklas Backstrom threatens submissions; Mike Wilkinson has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Niklas Backstrom has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mike Wilkinson (52.9%).
- Niklas Backstrom has a 20cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Niklas Backstrom
oldest →W
SUBvs Tom Niinimaki · May 14 Mike WilkinsonL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Brendan Loughnane · Dec 12L
SUBvs Rony Jason · Jun 13L
vs Makwan Amirkhani · Feb 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Niklas BackstromMetricMike Wilkinson
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-2.53Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap-1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Niklas BackstromMike Wilkinson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Niklas Backstrom(3 fights)Mike Wilkinson(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -135.6|Blue +135.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.8|Blue +1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -357.0|Blue +357.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Niklas BackstromTargetMike Wilkinson
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mike Wilkinson edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
