Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Henry Cejudo enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Dominick Cruz has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Dominick Cruz has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Henry CejudoL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Marlon Moraes · Jun 19L
vs Aljamain Sterling · May 23L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Feb 24L
vs Payton Talbott · Dec 25 Dominick Cruz
oldest →W
vs Urijah Faber · Jun 16L
vs Cody Garbrandt · Dec 16W
vs Casey Kenney · Mar 21W
vs Pedro Munhoz · Dec 21L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Aug 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Henry CejudoMetricDominick Cruz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.01Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap+1.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Henry CejudoDominick Cruz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Henry Cejudo(10 fights)Dominick Cruz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -23.4|Blue +23.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -890.0|Blue +890.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Henry CejudoTargetDominick Cruz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Henry Cejudo edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control0:08
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Henry Cejudo edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:06
Knockdowns1
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
