Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jon Jones enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Jon Jones has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jon Jones has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ovince Saint Preux (53.5%).
- Jon Jones has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jon JonesW5 streak
oldest →W
vs Anthony Smith · Mar 19W
vs Thiago Santos · Jul 19W
vs Dominick Reyes · Feb 20W
SUBvs Ciryl Gane · Mar 23W
KOvs Stipe Miocic · Nov 24 Ovince Saint Preux
oldest →L
KOvs Tanner Boser · Jun 21W
vs Mauricio Rua · May 22L
KOvs Philipe Lins · Feb 23W
vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Mar 24L
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jon JonesMetricOvince Saint Preux
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.14Δ 2.44 — meaningful gap-0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jon JonesOvince Saint Preux
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jon Jones(10 fights)Ovince Saint Preux(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +14.3|Blue -14.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +399.0|Blue -399.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jon JonesTargetOvince Saint Preux
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Ovince Saint Preux rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:04
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:14
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Jon Jones edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:01
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 4Jon Jones edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns2
Control2:22
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 5Jon Jones edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns1
Control1:13
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
