Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Keiichiro Nakamura (53.5%).
- Keiichiro Nakamura has a 10cm reach advantage.
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Keiichiro NakamuraMetricSebastian Szalay
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.20Δ 2.54 — meaningful gap+2.74
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Keiichiro NakamuraSebastian Szalay
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +41.4|Blue -41.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Keiichiro NakamuraTargetSebastian Szalay
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Keiichiro Nakamura rounds
Round 1Sebastian Szalay edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Sebastian Szalay edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Sebastian Szalay edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns1
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
