Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Henrique da Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Paul Craig enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Henrique da Silva is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Paul Craig has lost 55% of fights by KO.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Henrique da SilvaL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Jonathan Wilson · Jun 16W
SUBvs Joachim Christensen · Oct 16L
vs Jordan Johnson · Jan 17L
KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Jun 17L
KOvs Gokhan Saki · Sep 17 Paul CraigL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Nov 23L
KOvs Caio Borralho · May 24L
vs Rodolfo Bellato · Jun 25L
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Sep 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Henrique da SilvaMetricPaul Craig
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.39evenly matched on net striking-0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Henrique da SilvaPaul Craig
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Henrique da Silva(6 fights)Paul Craig(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -111.0|Blue +111.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -47.3|Blue +47.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Henrique da SilvaTargetPaul Craig
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Henrique da Silva rounds
Round 1Paul Craig edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control2:19
18Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:48Control
Round 2Paul Craig edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control1:04
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:20Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
