Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brian Ebersole (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brian Ebersole
oldest →W
vs Claude Patrick · Dec 11W
vs TJ Waldburger · Jun 12 Omari Akhmedov
oldest →W
vs Zak Cummings · Sep 19W
vs Ian Heinisch · Dec 19L
DECvs Chris Weidman · Aug 20W
SUBvs Tom Breese · Jan 21L
vs Brad Tavares · Jul 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brian EbersoleMetricOmari Akhmedov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.18evenly matched on net striking+0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brian EbersoleOmari Akhmedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brian Ebersole(8 fights)Omari Akhmedov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.4|Blue +3.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brian EbersoleTargetOmari Akhmedov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Omari Akhmedov edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
