Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ashlee Evans-Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Ketlen Vieira has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ashlee Evans-SmithL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Sarah Moras · Sep 17W
vs Bec Rawlings · Apr 18L
vs Norma Dumont · Nov 20 Ketlen Vieira
oldest →W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 23L
vs Kayla Harrison · Oct 24W
vs Macy Chiasson · May 25L
vs Norma Dumont · Nov 25W
DECvs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ashlee Evans-SmithMetricKetlen Vieira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.56evenly matched on net striking-0.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ashlee Evans-SmithKetlen Vieira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ashlee Evans-Smith(9 fights)Ketlen Vieira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -46.4|Blue +46.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ashlee Evans-SmithTargetKetlen Vieira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Ashlee Evans-Smith rounds
Round 1Ashlee Evans-Smith edged it
Sig. strikes35
Takedowns0
Control0:01
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:41Control
Round 2Ketlen Vieira edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:04
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:17Control
Round 3Ketlen Vieira edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:00
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
