Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dan Argueta enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Dan Argueta has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Nick Aguirre has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dan ArguetaL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Damon Jackson · Jun 22L
SUBvs Jean Matsumoto · Apr 24 Nick Aguirre
oldest →L
SUBvs Payton Talbott · Nov 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dan ArguetaMetricNick Aguirre
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.96Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap-2.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dan ArguetaNick Aguirre
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dan Argueta(4 fights)Nick Aguirre(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +5.4|Blue -5.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.1|Blue +49.1
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dan ArguetaTargetNick Aguirre
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dan Argueta edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control3:24
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:15Control
Round 2Dan Argueta edged it
Sig. strikes25
Takedowns1
Control3:22
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Dan Argueta edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns2
Control3:28
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
