Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Krzysztof Jotko (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Krzysztof Jotko
oldest →L
vs Sean Strickland · May 21W
vs Misha Cirkunov · Oct 21W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 22L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Oct 22 Brad TavaresL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 24L
vs JunYong Park · Oct 24W
vs Gerald Meerschaert · Apr 25L
KOvs Robert Bryczek · Sep 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Krzysztof JotkoMetricBrad Tavares
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.75evenly matched on net striking+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Krzysztof JotkoBrad Tavares
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Krzysztof Jotko(10 fights)Brad Tavares(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +15.3|Blue -15.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Krzysztof JotkoTargetBrad Tavares
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Brad Tavares edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:21
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:33Control
Round 2Brad Tavares edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:25
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:56Control
Round 3Brad Tavares edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
