Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sam Sicilia enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Yaotzin Meza threatens submissions; Sam Sicilia has lost 43% of fights by sub.
- Sam Sicilia has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Yaotzin Meza has a 10cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Sam SiciliaL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Katsunori Kikuno · Sep 14W
KOvs Akira Corassani · Jan 15L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Nov 15L
SUBvs Gabriel Benitez · Sep 16L
vs Gavin Tucker · Feb 17 Yaotzin Meza
oldest →L
KOvs Chad Mendes · Dec 12W
SUBvs John Albert · Jul 13L
vs Sergio Pettis · Jun 14W
vs Damian Stasiak · Apr 15L
vs Arnold Allen · Feb 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Sam SiciliaMetricYaotzin Meza
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.09evenly matched on net striking-0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Sam SiciliaYaotzin Meza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Sam Sicilia(10 fights)Yaotzin Meza(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +3.0|Blue -3.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +77.0|Blue -77.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Sam SiciliaTargetYaotzin Meza
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sam Sicilia edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control3:58
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:27Control
Round 2Yaotzin Meza edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:59
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:23Control
Round 3Sam Sicilia edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control3:31
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:40Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
