Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hector Urbina threatens submissions; Edgar Garcia has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Edgar Garcia has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Edgar Garcia
oldest →L
KOvs Sheldon Westcott · Jan 16 Hector UrbinaL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Bartosz Fabinski · Nov 15L
KOvs Vicente Luque · Sep 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Edgar GarciaMetricHector Urbina
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.07evenly matched on net striking-1.47
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Edgar GarciaHector Urbina
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Edgar Garcia(2 fights)Hector Urbina(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Edgar GarciaTargetHector Urbina
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Edgar Garcia edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns2
Control1:39
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:11Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
