Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dominick Reyes is a KO finisher (56% of wins). Chris Weidman has lost 88% of fights by KO.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dominick Reyes (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dominick Reyes
oldest →W
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Jun 24W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 24W
KOvs Nikita Krylov · Apr 25L
KOvs Carlos Ulberg · Sep 25W
DECvs Johnny Walker · Apr 26 Chris Weidman
oldest →W
DECvs Omari Akhmedov · Aug 20L
KOvs Uriah Hall · Apr 21L
vs Brad Tavares · Aug 23L
KOvs Eryk Anders · Dec 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dominick ReyesMetricChris Weidman
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.59Δ 1.85 — meaningful gap-0.26
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dominick ReyesChris Weidman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dominick Reyes(10 fights)Chris Weidman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +27.6|Blue -27.6
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.6|Blue -1.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -133.0|Blue +133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dominick ReyesTargetChris Weidman
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dominick Reyes edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:09
Knockdowns1
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:10Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
