Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Brando Pericic won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1482
Louie Sutherland editorial illustration
Elo1564
Brando Pericic

Louie SutherlandvsBrando PericicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · Saturday, March 21, 2026London, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Brando Pericic won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:48

Style matchupLouie Sutherland: WrestlervsBrando Pericic: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Brando Pericic wins(76.6%)

Actual result: Brando Pericic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brando Pericic at -265 American odds

+$38 profit

$138 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Brando Pericic is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Louie Sutherland has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Brando Pericic has 28pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Brando Pericic has 71pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Louie Sutherland
Red Corner
VS
Brando Pericic
Blue Corner
+210
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-265
(73%)
1482
Elo
1564
32
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'5"
193.04 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Louie Sutherland
oldest →
L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Oct 25
W
DECvs Tai Tuivasa · May 26
latest
Brando PericicW2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Elisha Ellison · Sep 25
W
KOvs Shamil Gaziev · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Louie SutherlandMetricBrando Pericic
1.81
Strikes / min
11.00
2.03
Strikes absorbed / min
4.26
30%
Strike defense
58%
4.95
TDs / 15 min
0.00
0%
Takedown defense
71%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.22Δ 6.96 — meaningful gap+6.74

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1488 vs 1514Strikes3.8 vs 12.9Takedowns4.7 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs 1.0
Louie SutherlandBrando Pericic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401475151015451580← oldermost recent →
Louie Sutherland(3 fights)Brando Pericic(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -82.2|Blue +82.2
Recent Form
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Striker Score
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Louie SutherlandTargetBrando Pericic

By target zone

5
36% acc · 56%
Head
13
65% acc · 68%
2
100% acc · 22%
Body
6
100% acc · 32%
2
100% acc · 22%
Leg
0

By position

7
47% acc · 78%
Distance
5
56% acc · 26%
2
67% acc · 22%
Clinch
9
90% acc · 47%
0
Ground
5
71% acc · 26%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Louie Sutherland rounds
0
even
1
Brando Pericic rounds
Round 1Brando Pericic edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control0:40
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:19Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
9 / 18
Sig Strikes
19 / 26
50%
Sig Str %
73%
9 / 18
Total Strikes
34 / 46
1 / 3
TDs
0 / 0
33%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:40
Ctrl Time
0:19

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Brando Pericic19 / 2634 / 460 / 00
1Louie Sutherland9 / 189 / 181 / 30

Louie Sutherland

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights2

Brando Pericic

StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights2