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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Baisangur Susurkaev won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1559

Elo1509

Baisangur SusurkaevvsEric McConicoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · Saturday, November 15, 2025New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Baisangur Susurkaev won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:38

Style matchupBaisangur Susurkaev: WrestlervsEric McConico: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Baisangur Susurkaev wins(87.1%)

Actual result: Baisangur Susurkaev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Baisangur Susurkaev at -1000 American odds

+$10 profit

$110 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Baisangur Susurkaev has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Baisangur Susurkaev has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Eric McConico (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Baisangur Susurkaev

Red Corner

Eric McConico

Blue Corner

-1000

(91%)

Vegas Odds

+660

(13%)

1559

Elo

1509

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

6'0"

200.66 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Baisangur SusurkaevW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Eric Nolan · Aug 25

SUBvs Djorden Santos · May 26

latest

Eric McConicoW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Nursulton Ruziboev · Feb 25

vs Cody Brundage · Aug 25

DECvs Rodolfo Vieira · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Baisangur SusurkaevMetricEric McConico

5.74

Strikes / min

2.92

4.45

Strikes absorbed / min

3.05

58%

Strike defense

45%

2.09

TDs / 15 min

0.64

100%

Takedown defense

68%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.29Δ 1.42 — meaningful gap-0.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Baisangur SusurkaevEric McConico

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Baisangur Susurkaev(3 fights)Eric McConico(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +50.4|Blue -50.4

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Baisangur SusurkaevTargetEric McConico

By target zone

38% acc · 38%

Head

35% acc · 53%

89% acc · 47%

Body

91% acc · 19%

100% acc · 15%

Leg

100% acc · 28%

By position

55% acc · 79%

Distance

40% acc · 68%

92% acc · 21%

Clinch

94% acc · 32%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Baisangur Susurkaev rounds

even

Eric McConico rounds

Round 1Baisangur Susurkaev edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns2

Control2:19

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:37Control

Round 2Eric McConico edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:54

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:40Control

Round 3Baisangur Susurkaev edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns1

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

53 / 88

Sig Strikes

53 / 107

62.3%

Sig Str %

46.7%

105 / 143

Total Strikes

90 / 150

2 / 7

TDs

0 / 0

20%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:13

Ctrl Time

2:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Eric McConico	17 / 29	36 / 54	0 / 0
1	Baisangur Susurkaev	13 / 17	52 / 58	2 / 5
2	Eric McConico	29 / 54	47 / 72	0 / 0
2	Baisangur Susurkaev	25 / 43	38 / 57	0 / 2
3	Eric McConico	7 / 24	7 / 24	0 / 0
3	Baisangur Susurkaev	15 / 28	15 / 28	0 / 0

Baisangur Susurkaev

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights3

Eric McConico

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights4