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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Baisangur Susurkaev won · Submission R3
Elo1559
Baisangur Susurkaev
Elo1481
Djorden Santos

Baisangur SusurkaevvsDjorden SantosUFC Prediction Result

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · Saturday, May 9, 2026Newark, USA

Official fight result

Baisangur Susurkaev won

Submission · Round 3 · 4:12

Style matchupBaisangur Susurkaev: WrestlervsDjorden Santos: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Baisangur Susurkaev wins(64.1%)

Actual result: Baisangur Susurkaev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Baisangur Susurkaev threatens submissions; Djorden Santos has lost 50% of fights by sub.
  • Baisangur Susurkaev has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Baisangur Susurkaev has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Baisangur Susurkaev has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Baisangur Susurkaev
Red Corner
VS
Djorden Santos
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1559
Elo
1481
25
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'0"
200.66 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Baisangur SusurkaevW2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Eric Nolan · Aug 25
W
KOvs Eric McConico · Nov 25
latest
Djorden Santos
oldest →
L
vs Ozzy Diaz · Mar 25
W
vs Danny Barlow · Oct 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Baisangur SusurkaevMetricDjorden Santos
5.74
Strikes / min
6.64
4.45
Strikes absorbed / min
6.35
58%
Strike defense
48%
2.09
TDs / 15 min
0.51
100%
Takedown defense
85%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.29evenly matched on net striking+0.29
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701495152015451570← oldermost recent →
Baisangur Susurkaev(3 fights)Djorden Santos(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +77.8|Blue -77.8
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Baisangur Susurkaev

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights3

Djorden Santos

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3