Bantamweight

3 Rounds

SuYoung You won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1511

Baergeng JieleyisivsSuYoung YouUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, November 23, 2024Macau, China

Official fight result

SuYoung You won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: SuYoung You wins(71.9%)

Actual result: SuYoung You wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

SuYoung You at -230 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

SuYoung You has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Baergeng Jieleyisi has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Baergeng Jieleyisi

Red Corner

SuYoung You

Blue Corner

+190

(34%)

Vegas Odds

-230

(70%)

1492

Elo

1511

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'6"

180.34 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Baergeng JieleyisiNo prior UFC fights on record.

SuYoung You

oldest →

vs AJ Cunningham · Mar 25

vs Xiao Long · Aug 25

SUBvs Elijah Smith · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Baergeng JieleyisiMetricSuYoung You

1.61

Strikes / min

2.15

2.62

Strikes absorbed / min

2.01

52%

Strike defense

68%

1.73

TDs / 15 min

4.26

78%

Takedown defense

66%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.01Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap+0.14

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Baergeng JieleyisiSuYoung You

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Baergeng Jieleyisi(1 fights)SuYoung You(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -18.9|Blue +18.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Baergeng JieleyisiTargetSuYoung You

By target zone

6% acc · 44%

Head

39% acc · 67%

50% acc · 44%

Body

67% acc · 10%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 24%

By position

13% acc · 100%

Distance

47% acc · 86%

Clinch

75% acc · 7%

Ground

50% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Baergeng Jieleyisi rounds

even

SuYoung You rounds

Round 1SuYoung You edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

9Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:29Control

Round 2SuYoung You edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:17Control

Round 3SuYoung You edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control0:17

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

9 / 72

Sig Strikes

42 / 87

11.3%

Sig Str %

50.3%

48 / 114

Total Strikes

85 / 131

1 / 1

TDs

2 / 5

100%

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

0:17

Ctrl Time

4:46

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	SuYoung You	9 / 15	42 / 48	2 / 2
1	Baergeng Jieleyisi	1 / 14	18 / 33	0 / 0
2	SuYoung You	16 / 34	26 / 45	0 / 2
2	Baergeng Jieleyisi	5 / 28	19 / 43	0 / 0
3	SuYoung You	17 / 38	17 / 38	0 / 1
3	Baergeng Jieleyisi	3 / 30	11 / 38	1 / 1

Baergeng Jieleyisi

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights1

SuYoung You

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights4