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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ilir Latifi won · S-DEC R3
Elo1484
Tanner Boser
Elo1497
Ilir Latifi

Tanner BoservsIlir LatifiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · Saturday, June 5, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ilir Latifi won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupTanner Boser: StrikervsIlir Latifi: Wrestler

Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Tanner Boser wins(67.7%)

Actual result: Ilir Latifi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tanner Boser at -200 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ilir Latifi has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.

Tale of the Tape

Tanner Boser
Red Corner
VS
Ilir Latifi
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
1484
Elo
1497
34
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Tanner Boser
oldest →
W
KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Jun 21
L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · Sep 22
L
KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Apr 23
W
vs Aleksa Camur · Aug 23
L
KOvs Gokhan Saricam · Apr 26
latest
Ilir Latifi
oldest →
L
vs Corey Anderson · Dec 18
L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Aug 19
L
vs Derrick Lewis · Feb 20
W
vs Aleksei Oleinik · Oct 22
L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Tanner BoserMetricIlir Latifi
4.82
Strikes / min
2.05
3.00
Strikes absorbed / min
2.93
57%
Strike defense
56%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.11
69%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.82Δ 2.70 — meaningful gap-0.88

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1511 vs 1520Strikes4.2 vs 1.8Takedowns0.0 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.40Form0.1 vs -0.7
Tanner BoserIlir Latifi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Tanner Boser(10 fights)Ilir Latifi(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -12.8|Blue +12.8
Recent Form
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -273.0|Blue +273.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Tanner BoserTargetIlir Latifi

By target zone

32
38% acc · 71%
Head
8
24% acc · 80%
11
58% acc · 24%
Body
2
50% acc · 20%
2
100% acc · 4%
Leg
0
0% acc

By position

28
35% acc · 62%
Distance
10
26% acc · 100%
4
44% acc · 9%
Clinch
0
13
76% acc · 29%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Tanner Boser rounds
1
even
1
Ilir Latifi rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:20
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:03Control
Round 2Tanner Boser edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control0:22
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:21Control
Round 3Ilir Latifi edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
3Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:14Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
45 / 105
Sig Strikes
10 / 38
41.7%
Sig Str %
32%
84 / 153
Total Strikes
51 / 98
0 / 0
TDs
2 / 3
—
TD %
66.7%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:42
Ctrl Time
6:38

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Ilir Latifi1 / 126 / 171 / 10
1Tanner Boser8 / 2814 / 360 / 00
2Ilir Latifi6 / 216 / 210 / 10
2Tanner Boser34 / 7135 / 730 / 00
3Ilir Latifi3 / 539 / 601 / 10
3Tanner Boser3 / 635 / 440 / 00

Tanner Boser

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10

Ilir Latifi

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights16