Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jason Brilz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Eric Schafer has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Eric Schafer has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Eric SchaferL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Aaron Simpson · Oct 11L
KOvs Jorge Rivera · Jan 12 Jason BrilzL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Rogerio Nogueira · May 10L
KOvs Vladimir Matyushenko · Apr 11L
KOvs Ryan Bader · Nov 11 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Eric SchaferMetricJason Brilz
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.49Δ 2.37 — meaningful gap+0.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Eric SchaferJason Brilz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Eric Schafer(3 fights)Jason Brilz(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Eric SchaferTargetJason Brilz
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jason Brilz edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control0:15
23Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:06Control
Round 2Jason Brilz edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control1:03
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:12Control
Round 3Jason Brilz edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:27
27Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:55Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
