Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- CB Dollaway has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ed HermanL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Patrick Cummins · May 19W
vs Khadis Ibragimov · Nov 19W
SUBvs Mike Rodriguez · Sep 20L
vs Alonzo Menifield · Aug 21L
KOvs Zak Cummings · Apr 23 CB Dollaway
oldest →L
KOvs Lyoto Machida · Dec 14L
vs Michael Bisping · Apr 15L
KOvs Nate Marquardt · Dec 15W
vs Hector Lombard · Mar 18L
KOvs Khalid Murtazaliev · Sep 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ed HermanMetricCB Dollaway
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.40evenly matched on net striking+0.07
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ed HermanCB Dollaway
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ed Herman(10 fights)CB Dollaway(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -33.4|Blue +33.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -224.0|Blue +224.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ed HermanTargetCB Dollaway
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1CB Dollaway edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:05
16Sig. strikes
5Takedowns
4:37Control
Round 2Ed Herman edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control2:40
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
Round 3CB Dollaway edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:46Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
