Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mike Rodriguez enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Marcin Prachnio has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Marcin Prachnio has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Mike Rodriguez (53.5%).
- Mike Rodriguez has a 23cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin PrachnioL2 streak
oldest →W
vs William Knight · Feb 23L
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · Jul 23L
SUBvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jul 24L
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Jul 25 Mike RodriguezL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Adam Milstead · Dec 18L
KOvs Da Un Jung · Dec 19L
SUBvs Ed Herman · Sep 20L
SUBvs Danilo Marques · Feb 21L
vs Tafon Nchukwi · Sep 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin PrachnioMetricMike Rodriguez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.37Δ 2.26 — meaningful gap+0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marcin PrachnioMike Rodriguez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Prachnio(10 fights)Mike Rodriguez(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +81.1|Blue -81.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +462.0|Blue -462.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marcin PrachnioTargetMike Rodriguez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Mike Rodriguez edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:25
Knockdowns0
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:16Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
