Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jason Saggo is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Justin Salas has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Justin Salas has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jason Saggo has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Justin Salas (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jason SaggoL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Josh Shockley · Jun 14W
vs Leandro Silva · Jun 16L
vs Rustam Khabilov · Dec 16L
KOvs Gilbert Burns · Sep 17 Justin Salas
oldest →L
SUBvs Thiago Tavares · Nov 13L
KOvs Joe Proctor · Jul 14 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jason SaggoMetricJustin Salas
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.44evenly matched on net striking+0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jason SaggoJustin Salas
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jason Saggo(6 fights)Justin Salas(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +5.3|Blue -5.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -80.0|Blue +80.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jason SaggoTargetJustin Salas
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jason Saggo edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control2:21
1Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:41Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
