Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Liz Carmouche
oldest →W
vs Lauren Murphy · Apr 15W
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Nov 16L
vs Alexis Davis · Dec 17W
vs Lucie Pudilova · Feb 19L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Aug 19 Jennifer Maia
oldest →L
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jan 22L
vs Manon Fiorot · Mar 22W
vs Maryna Moroz · Nov 22W
vs Casey O'Neill · Mar 23L
vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Liz CarmoucheMetricJennifer Maia
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.27evenly matched on net striking-0.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Liz CarmoucheJennifer Maia
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Liz Carmouche(10 fights)Jennifer Maia(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -7.5|Blue +7.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -48.5|Blue +48.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Liz CarmoucheTargetJennifer Maia
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Liz Carmouche edged it
Sig. strikes19
Takedowns1
Control0:39
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:26Control
Round 2Liz Carmouche edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control0:51
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:03Control
Round 3Liz Carmouche edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns1
Control3:53
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
