Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jamie Pickett enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Jamie Pickett has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jamie PickettL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Feb 22L
KOvs Denis Tiuliulin · Sep 22L
SUBvs Bo Nickal · Mar 23 Joseph HolmesL2 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Alen Amedovski · May 22L
SUBvs JunYong Park · Oct 22L
KOvs Claudio Ribeiro · May 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jamie PickettMetricJoseph Holmes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.97evenly matched on net striking-0.20
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jamie PickettJoseph Holmes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jamie Pickett(9 fights)Joseph Holmes(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +30.0|Blue -30.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -49.7|Blue +49.7
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jamie PickettTargetJoseph Holmes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Joseph Holmes edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control1:24
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:54Control
Round 2Jamie Pickett edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control0:18
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:08Control
Round 3Jamie Pickett edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control1:20
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
