Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Warlley Alves enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Marcio Alexandre Junior (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcio Alexandre JuniorL2 streak
Warlley AlvesL4 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Mounir Lazzez · Jan 21L
KOvs Jeremiah Wells · Jun 21L
vs Nicolas Dalby · Jan 23L
KOvs Ikram Aliskerov · Oct 23L
vs Abus Magomedov · May 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcio Alexandre JuniorMetricWarlley Alves
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.28evenly matched on net striking-0.91
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcio Alexandre Junior(3 fights)Warlley Alves(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -133.4|Blue +133.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marcio Alexandre JuniorTargetWarlley Alves
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Marcio Alexandre Junior rounds
Round 1Warlley Alves edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
7Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:57Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Warlley Alves edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
10Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:42Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:05
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
