Middleweight

3 Rounds

Jackson McVey won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1505

Elo1496

Wes SchultzvsJackson McVeyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · Saturday, August 22, 2026Sacramento, USA

Official fight result

Jackson McVey won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:13

Engine 7.0 was wrong

Pre-fight pick: Wes Schultz

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Wes Schultz at +148 American odds · hypothetical only

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jackson McVey is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Wes Schultz has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Wes Schultz threatens submissions; Jackson McVey has lost 100% of fights by sub.
Wes Schultz has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Wes Schultz

Red Corner

Jackson McVey

Blue Corner

+148

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-180

(64%)

1505

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'4"

195.58 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Wes Schultz

oldest →

KOvs Damian Pinas · Feb 26

SUBvs Ben Johnston · May 26

latest

Jackson McVey

oldest →

SUBvs Brunno Ferreira · Jul 25

SUBvs Zach Reese · Nov 25

SUBvs Sedriques Dumas · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Wes SchultzMetricJackson McVey

2.91

Strikes / min

6.51

3.11

Strikes absorbed / min

3.37

43%

Strike defense

23%

2.39

TDs / 15 min

0.00

Takedown defense

3.60

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.20Δ 3.34 — meaningful gap+3.14

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Wes Schultz(2 fights)Jackson McVey(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +8.5|Blue -8.5

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Grappler Score

Red -14.6|Blue +14.6

Layoff

Red -7.0|Blue +7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Wes SchultzTargetJackson McVey

By target zone

41% acc · 46%

Head

46% acc · 84%

80% acc · 50%

Body

67% acc · 16%

100% acc · 4%

Leg

By position

54% acc · 83%

Distance

47% acc · 89%

67% acc · 17%

Clinch

33% acc · 3%

Ground

100% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Wes Schultz rounds

even

Jackson McVey rounds

Round 1Jackson McVey edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns1

Control1:05

Knockdowns0

38Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 43

Sig Strikes

38 / 78

55%

Sig Str %

48%

28 / 48

Total Strikes

40 / 80

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:05

Ctrl Time

0:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jackson McVey	38 / 78	40 / 80	0 / 0	0
1	Wes Schultz	24 / 43	28 / 48	1 / 1	1

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Jackson McVey

Odds

-180

Market-implied probability

Wes Schultz 39%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Wes Schultz (model pick · research)$248

Jackson McVey$156

39% market-implied · model 52% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC · never rewritten

Wes Schultz

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights3

Jackson McVey

StanceSouthpaw

Height76.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights4