Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stevie Ray has 31pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stevie Ray has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Stevie Ray (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Marcin Bandel
oldest →L
KOvs Mairbek Taisumov · Oct 14 Stevie Ray
oldest →L
KOvs Paul Felder · Jul 17L
vs Kajan Johnson · Mar 18W
vs Jessin Ayari · Oct 18L
KOvs Leonardo Santos · Jun 19W
vs Michael Johnson · Oct 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Marcin BandelMetricStevie Ray
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-4.47Δ 5.27 — meaningful gap+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Marcin BandelStevie Ray
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Marcin Bandel(2 fights)Stevie Ray(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -137.4|Blue +137.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Marcin BandelTargetStevie Ray
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Stevie Ray edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control1:22
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:09Control
Round 2Stevie Ray edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:13
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:06Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
