Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raphael Assuncao enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Raphael Assuncao has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Victor Henry (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Raphael AssuncaoL5 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Marlon Moraes · Feb 19L
vs Cory Sandhagen · Aug 19L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Jun 20L
KOvs Ricky Simon · Dec 21L
SUBvs Davey Grant · Mar 23 Victor Henry
oldest →W
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 22W
vs Tony Gravely · Mar 23W
KOvs Rani Yahya · Apr 24L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Nov 24W
vs Pedro Falcao · Apr 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Raphael AssuncaoMetricVictor Henry
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.72Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap+1.98
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Raphael AssuncaoVictor Henry
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Raphael Assuncao(10 fights)Victor Henry(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -12.1|Blue +12.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.9|Blue +1.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Raphael AssuncaoTargetVictor Henry
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Raphael Assuncao edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns0
Control0:30
22Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Raphael Assuncao edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control2:16
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Raphael Assuncao edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns1
Control1:43
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
