Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chris Gutierrez has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Geraldo de Freitas has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Geraldo de Freitas
oldest →W
vs Felipe Colares · Feb 19L
vs Tony Gravely · Nov 20 Chris Gutierrez
oldest →W
vs Alatengheili · Oct 23W
vs John Castaneda · Apr 25L
vs Farid Basharat · Oct 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Geraldo de FreitasMetricChris Gutierrez
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.05evenly matched on net striking+1.75
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Geraldo de FreitasChris Gutierrez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Geraldo de Freitas(3 fights)Chris Gutierrez(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -116.1|Blue +116.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +49.0|Blue -49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Geraldo de FreitasTargetChris Gutierrez
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Geraldo de Freitas rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control0:44
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Round 2Chris Gutierrez edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control1:12
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:34Control
Round 3Geraldo de Freitas edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:12
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:16Control
