Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Bryan Barberena enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Makhmud Muradov has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Makhmud Muradov has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Bryan Barberena (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Makhmud MuradovL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Alessio Di Chirico · Sep 19W
KOvs Trevor Smith · Dec 19W
KOvs Andrew Sanchez · Jan 21L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Aug 21L
vs Caio Borralho · Oct 22 Bryan BarberenaL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Robbie Lawler · Jul 22L
SUBvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Dec 22L
SUBvs Gunnar Nelson · Mar 23L
SUBvs Gerald Meerschaert · Mar 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Makhmud MuradovMetricBryan Barberena
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.64evenly matched on net striking+0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Makhmud MuradovBryan Barberena
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Makhmud Muradov(6 fights)Bryan Barberena(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +7.3|Blue -7.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.8|Blue +1.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +147.0|Blue -147.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Makhmud MuradovTargetBryan Barberena
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Makhmud Muradov edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns3
Control2:34
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Makhmud Muradov edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns6
Control1:53
Knockdowns1
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Makhmud Muradov edged it
Sig. strikes29
Takedowns4
Control0:43
Knockdowns1
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
