Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Antonio Carlos Junior has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Antonio Carlos JuniorL2 streak
oldest →W
vs Marvin Vettori · Dec 16W
SUBvs Jack Marshman · Oct 17W
SUBvs Tim Boetsch · Apr 18L
vs Brad Tavares · Jan 21 Ian HeinischL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Derek Brunson · Aug 19L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Dec 19W
KOvs Gerald Meerschaert · Jun 20L
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Feb 21L
KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jul 21 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Antonio Carlos JuniorMetricIan Heinisch
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.19evenly matched on net striking+0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Antonio Carlos JuniorIan Heinisch
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Antonio Carlos Junior(10 fights)Ian Heinisch(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -9.9|Blue +9.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +217.0|Blue -217.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Antonio Carlos JuniorTargetIan Heinisch
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
1
Antonio Carlos Junior rounds
Round 1Antonio Carlos Junior edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns3
Control4:11
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Round 2Ian Heinisch edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns1
Control1:27
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:58Control
Round 3Ian Heinisch edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:45
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:39Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
