Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Pineda enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Diego Brandao has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Diego Brandao has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Daniel Pineda has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Diego Brandao
oldest →L
KOvs Dustin Poirier · Dec 13L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 14W
KOvs Jimy Hettes · Apr 15W
KOvs Katsunori Kikuno · Sep 15L
SUBvs Brian Ortega · Jan 16 Daniel PinedaL3 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Dec 20W
SUBvs Tucker Lutz · Mar 23L
vs Alex Caceres · Jun 23L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Jul 24L
vs Darren Elkins · Oct 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Diego BrandaoMetricDaniel Pineda
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.44evenly matched on net striking-0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Diego BrandaoDaniel Pineda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Diego Brandao(10 fights)Daniel Pineda(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Diego BrandaoTargetDaniel Pineda
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Diego Brandao edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns1
Control0:29
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 2Daniel Pineda edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns2
Control1:39
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:26Control
Round 3Diego Brandao edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns5
Control2:17
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
