Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Grant Dawson has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Grant Dawson (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Grant Dawson
oldest →L
KOvs King Green · Oct 23W
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Oct 24W
vs Diego Ferreira · Jan 25L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Dec 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Rebecki · May 26 Joe SoleckiL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Jared Gordon · Oct 21W
vs Alex Da Silva · Jun 22W
SUBvs Carl Deaton · Feb 23L
KOvs Drakkar Klose · Dec 23L
vs Nurullo Aliev · Jan 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Grant DawsonMetricJoe Solecki
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.00evenly matched on net striking+0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Grant DawsonJoe Solecki
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Grant Dawson(10 fights)Joe Solecki(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +37.8|Blue -37.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +56.0|Blue -56.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Grant DawsonTargetJoe Solecki
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Grant Dawson edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns1
Control4:42
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:14Control
Round 2Grant Dawson edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns1
Control4:31
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Grant Dawson edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control4:33
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
