Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Misha Cirkunov enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Misha Cirkunov threatens submissions; Nikita Krylov has lost 40% of fights by sub.
- Misha Cirkunov has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Misha Cirkunov has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Nikita Krylov
oldest →W
SUBvs Ryan Spann · Mar 23L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Apr 25L
KOvs Bogdan Guskov · Jul 25W
KOvs Modestas Bukauskas · Jan 26L
KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jul 26 Misha CirkunovL4 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Jimmy Crute · Sep 19L
KOvs Ryan Spann · Mar 21L
vs Krzysztof Jotko · Oct 21L
SUBvs Wellington Turman · Feb 22L
KOvs Alonzo Menifield · Oct 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Nikita KrylovMetricMisha Cirkunov
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.77evenly matched on net striking+0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Nikita KrylovMisha Cirkunov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Nikita Krylov(10 fights)Misha Cirkunov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +48.3|Blue -48.3
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Nikita KrylovTargetMisha Cirkunov
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Nikita Krylov edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control1:33
8Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:40Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
