Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Vinicius Oliveira (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Said Nurmagomedov
oldest →W
vs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Jul 22W
SUBvs Saidyokub Kakhramonov · Dec 22L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Mar 23W
SUBvs Muin Gafurov · Oct 23L
vs Bryce Mitchell · Jul 25 Vinicius Oliveira
oldest →W
KOvs Benardo Sopaj · Mar 24W
vs Kyler Phillips · Jul 25L
SUBvs Mario Bautista · Feb 26W
KOvs Andre Fili · Jun 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Said NurmagomedovMetricVinicius Oliveira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.03evenly matched on net striking+2.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Said NurmagomedovVinicius Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Said Nurmagomedov(10 fights)Vinicius Oliveira(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -45.2|Blue +45.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +252.0|Blue -252.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Said NurmagomedovTargetVinicius Oliveira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Said Nurmagomedov rounds
2
Vinicius Oliveira rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns1
Control0:09
3Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:44Control
Round 2Vinicius Oliveira edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:49
21Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:54Control
Round 3Vinicius Oliveira edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:34Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
