Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Darren Till enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jorge Masvidal enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Darren Till (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Darren TillL3 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Tyron Woodley · Sep 18W
vs Kelvin Gastelum · Nov 19L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 20L
SUBvs Derek Brunson · Sep 21L
SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Dec 22 Jorge MasvidalL4 streak
oldest →L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jul 20L
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Apr 21L
vs Colby Covington · Mar 22L
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 23 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Darren TillMetricJorge Masvidal
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.01Δ 2.01 — meaningful gap+1.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Darren TillJorge Masvidal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Darren Till(10 fights)Jorge Masvidal(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -12.8|Blue +12.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -1.0|Blue +1.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -308.0|Blue +308.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Darren TillTargetJorge Masvidal
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Darren Till edged it
Sig. strikes13
Takedowns1
Control0:51
Knockdowns1
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:20Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2Jorge Masvidal edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:05
Knockdowns0
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:27Control
1Knockdowns
