Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Sean Brady has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Leon Edwards (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Leon EdwardsL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Aug 22W
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 23W
vs Colby Covington · Dec 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 25 Sean Brady
oldest →L
KOvs Belal Muhammad · Oct 22W
SUBvs Kelvin Gastelum · Dec 23W
vs Gilbert Burns · Sep 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · Nov 25W
DECvs Joaquin Buckley · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Leon EdwardsMetricSean Brady
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.16Δ 1.15 — meaningful gap+1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Leon EdwardsSean Brady
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Leon Edwards(10 fights)Sean Brady(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -41.7|Blue +41.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +42.0|Blue -42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Leon EdwardsTargetSean Brady
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sean Brady edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:15
19Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:54Control
Round 2Sean Brady edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
19Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:57Control
Round 3Sean Brady edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
14Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:09Control
Round 4Sean Brady edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:10Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
