Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brendan Allen enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Sean Strickland has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Brendan AllenW3 streak
oldest →L
vs Nassourdine Imavov · Sep 24L
vs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 25W
vs Marvin Vettori · Jul 25W
KOvs Reinier de Ridder · Oct 25W
DECvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jun 26 Sean StricklandW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Jan 24L
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Feb 25W
KOvs Anthony Hernandez · Feb 26W
DECvs Khamzat Chimaev · May 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Brendan AllenMetricSean Strickland
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.03Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap+1.45
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Brendan AllenSean Strickland
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Brendan Allen(10 fights)Sean Strickland(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +20.2|Blue -20.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +126.0|Blue -126.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Brendan AllenTargetSean Strickland
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Sean Strickland edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns0
Control0:00
56Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:34Control
Round 2Sean Strickland edged it
Sig. strikes20
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
38Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
