Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Liz Carmouche has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Alexis Davis
oldest →L
vs Jennifer Maia · Mar 19L
vs Viviane Araujo · Jul 19L
vs Pannie Kianzad · Jun 21W
vs Julija Stoliarenko · Feb 22 Liz Carmouche
oldest →W
vs Lauren Murphy · Apr 15W
vs Katlyn Chookagian · Nov 16W
vs Jennifer Maia · Jul 18W
vs Lucie Pudilova · Feb 19L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Aug 19 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Alexis DavisMetricLiz Carmouche
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.18evenly matched on net striking+0.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Alexis DavisLiz Carmouche
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Alexis Davis(10 fights)Liz Carmouche(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +3.1|Blue -3.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -161.0|Blue +161.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Alexis DavisTargetLiz Carmouche
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Liz Carmouche edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control1:36
16Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:39Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns1
Control4:01
13Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 3Liz Carmouche edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:14
20Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
3:53Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
