Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Jonathan Micallef (53.5%).
- Jonathan Micallef has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jonathan MicallefW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Kevin Jousset · Feb 25W
DECvs Themba Gorimbo · May 26 Oban Elliott
oldest →W
vs Val Woodburn · Feb 24W
vs Preston Parsons · Jul 24W
KOvs Bassil Hafez · Nov 24L
vs Seokhyeon Ko · Jun 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jonathan MicallefMetricOban Elliott
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.21Δ 1.17 — meaningful gap+1.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jonathan MicallefOban Elliott
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jonathan Micallef(3 fights)Oban Elliott(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +59.8|Blue -59.8
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +133.0|Blue -133.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jonathan MicallefTargetOban Elliott
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
0
Jonathan Micallef rounds
Round 1Oban Elliott edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:35
21Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:05Control
Round 2Oban Elliott edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control1:00
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:06Control
Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.
