Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Chad Mendes has 86pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Cody McKenzie (52.9%).
- Cody McKenzie has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Chad Mendes
oldest →W
KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Apr 15L
KOvs Conor McGregor · Jul 15L
KOvs Frankie Edgar · Dec 15W
KOvs Myles Jury · Jul 18L
KOvs Alexander Volkanovski · Dec 18 Cody McKenzie
oldest →L
SUBvs Yves Edwards · Jan 11L
SUBvs Vagner Rocha · Sep 11W
SUBvs Marcus LeVesseur · May 12W
vs Leonard Garcia · Apr 13 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Chad MendesMetricCody McKenzie
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.43Δ 1.19 — meaningful gap-0.76
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Chad MendesCody McKenzie
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Chad Mendes(10 fights)Cody McKenzie(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +1.1|Blue -1.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +122.0|Blue -122.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Chad MendesTargetCody McKenzie
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Chad Mendes edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
