Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jordan Johnson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Jordan Johnson has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jordan Johnson has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jordan JohnsonW3 streak
oldest →W
vs Henrique da Silva · Jan 17W
vs Marcel Fortuna · Jul 17W
SUBvs Adam Yandiev · Sep 18 Adam Milstead
oldest →W
KOvs Chris de la Rocha · May 16L
KOvs Mike Rodriguez · Dec 18 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jordan JohnsonMetricAdam Milstead
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.81Δ 1.75 — meaningful gap-0.94
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jordan JohnsonAdam Milstead
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jordan Johnson(4 fights)Adam Milstead(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +121.9|Blue -121.9
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -404.0|Blue +404.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jordan JohnsonTargetAdam Milstead
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jordan Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control1:50
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jordan Johnson edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns1
Control3:25
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns1
Control1:57
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
