Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jimi Manuwa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Thiago Santos is a KO finisher (79% of wins). Jimi Manuwa has lost 83% of fights by KO.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jimi ManuwaL3 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Oct 16W
KOvs Corey Anderson · Mar 17L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Jul 17L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Mar 18L
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · Jun 19 Thiago SantosL2 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Nov 20L
vs Aleksandar Rakic · Mar 21W
vs Johnny Walker · Oct 21L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Mar 22L
KOvs Jamahal Hill · Aug 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jimi ManuwaMetricThiago Santos
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.54Δ 1.69 — meaningful gap+1.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jimi ManuwaThiago Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jimi Manuwa(10 fights)Thiago Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -59.0|Blue +59.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +189.0|Blue -189.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jimi ManuwaTargetThiago Santos
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Thiago Santos edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns0
Control2:23
Knockdowns0
33Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:16Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Thiago Santos edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:02
Knockdowns0
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
