Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Andy Ogle enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Charles Oliveira has a 13cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Apr 24W
vs Michael Chandler · Nov 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26 Andy OgleL3 streak
oldest →L
vs Akira Corassani · Sep 12L
vs Maximo Blanco · May 14L
KOvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jan 15 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Charles OliveiraMetricAndy Ogle
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.18evenly matched on net striking+0.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Charles OliveiraAndy Ogle
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Charles Oliveira(10 fights)Andy Ogle(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +167.1|Blue -167.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +112.0|Blue -112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Charles OliveiraTargetAndy Ogle
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Charles Oliveira edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns1
Control4:40
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns2
Control1:24
9Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
2:49Control
Round 3Andy Ogle edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:04
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:39Control
