Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Nate Landwehr has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Dan IgeL2 streak
oldest →L
vs Lerone Murphy · Oct 24W
KOvs Sean Woodson · Apr 25L
vs Patricio Freire · Jul 25L
KOvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 26 Nate LandwehrL3 streak
oldest →W
SUBvs Austin Lingo · Mar 23W
KOvs Jamall Emmers · Mar 24L
KOvs Dooho Choi · Dec 24L
KOvs Morgan Charriere · Jul 25L
KOvs Cub Swanson · Apr 26 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Dan IgeMetricNate Landwehr
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.04evenly matched on net striking-0.41
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Dan IgeNate Landwehr
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Dan Ige(10 fights)Nate Landwehr(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +16.1|Blue -16.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +70.0|Blue -70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Dan IgeTargetNate Landwehr
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Dan Ige edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Dan Ige edged it
Sig. strikes41
Takedowns0
Control0:22
Knockdowns1
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:19
32Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:26Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
