Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jason Witt threatens submissions; Cole Williams has lost 100% of fights by sub.
- Jason Witt has 29pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jason Witt has 75pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Cole Williams
oldest →L
SUBvs Claudio Silva · Aug 19 Jason WittL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Takashi Sato · Jun 20L
KOvs Matthew Semelsberger · Mar 21W
vs Bryan Barberena · Jul 21L
KOvs Josh Quinlan · Aug 22 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Cole WilliamsMetricJason Witt
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-5.03Δ 4.64 — meaningful gap-0.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Cole WilliamsJason Witt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Cole Williams(2 fights)Jason Witt(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -41.5|Blue +41.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +329.0|Blue -329.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Cole WilliamsTargetJason Witt
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jason Witt edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:00
12Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
4:49Control
Round 2Jason Witt edged it
Sig. strikes1
Takedowns0
Control0:00
8Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:30Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
