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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Charlie Brenneman won · U-DEC R3

Elo1354

Elo1490

Charlie BrennemanvsJason HighUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · Wednesday, March 31, 2010Charlotte, North Carolina, USA

Official fight result

Charlie Brenneman won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupCharlie Brenneman: WrestlervsJason High: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Charlie Brenneman wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Charlie Brenneman wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Charlie Brenneman at +173 American odds

+$173 profit

$273 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Charlie Brenneman enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Jason High threatens submissions; Charlie Brenneman has lost 43% of fights by sub.
Charlie Brenneman has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Jason High (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Charlie Brenneman

Red Corner

Jason High

Blue Corner

+173

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-205

(67%)

1354

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Charlie BrennemanL5 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Erick Silva · Jun 12

KOvs Kyle Noke · Sep 12

SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Jan 14

KOvs Danny Castillo · Apr 14

SUBvs Leandro Silva · Nov 14

latest

Jason High

oldest →

SUBvs Erick Silva · Jun 13

SUBvs James Head · Aug 13

vs Anthony Lapsley · Nov 13

KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Jun 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Charlie BrennemanMetricJason High

1.52

Strikes / min

1.28

1.55

Strikes absorbed / min

1.56

46%

Strike defense

48%

4.23

TDs / 15 min

2.36

72%

Takedown defense

37%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

2.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.03evenly matched on net striking-0.28

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Charlie Brenneman(10 fights)Jason High(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -136.5|Blue +136.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Charlie BrennemanTargetJason High

By target zone

43% acc · 39%

Head

36% acc · 75%

95% acc · 55%

Body

75% acc · 25%

50% acc · 6%

Leg

0% acc

By position

30% acc · 18%

Distance

35% acc · 67%

67% acc · 6%

Clinch

43% acc · 25%

83% acc · 76%

Ground

100% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Charlie Brenneman rounds

even

Jason High rounds

Round 1Charlie Brenneman edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns2

Control3:14

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

Round 2Charlie Brenneman edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns2

Control1:38

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:58Control

Round 3Charlie Brenneman edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns2

Control3:56

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:25Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 53

Sig Strikes

12 / 31

59%

Sig Str %

38.7%

95 / 116

Total Strikes

25 / 45

6 / 10

TDs

0 / 0

68.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

8:48

Ctrl Time

2:42

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jason High	3 / 13	5 / 15	0 / 0	0
1	Charlie Brenneman	21 / 31	39 / 50	2 / 3	0
2	Jason High	7 / 13	18 / 25	0 / 0	1
2	Charlie Brenneman	6 / 10	10 / 14	2 / 5	0
3	Jason High	2 / 5	2 / 5	0 / 0	2
3	Charlie Brenneman	6 / 12	46 / 52	2 / 2	0

Charlie Brenneman

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights11

Jason High

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights5