Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Francis Carmont enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Francis Carmont has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Francis CarmontL3 streak
oldest →W
vs Lorenz Larkin · Apr 13W
DECvs Costas Philippou · Sep 13L
vs Jacare Souza · Feb 14L
KOvs Thales Leites · Aug 14 Magnus Cedenblad
oldest →W
SUBvs Jared Hamman · Aug 13W
SUBvs Krzysztof Jotko · May 14W
vs Scott Askham · Oct 14W
KOvs Garreth McLellan · May 16L
KOvs Jack Marshman · Nov 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Francis CarmontMetricMagnus Cedenblad
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.58Δ 1.22 — meaningful gap-0.64
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Francis CarmontMagnus Cedenblad
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Francis Carmont(9 fights)Magnus Cedenblad(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -137.2|Blue +137.2
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Francis CarmontTargetMagnus Cedenblad
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Magnus Cedenblad edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns1
Control2:09
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:14Control
Round 2Francis Carmont edged it
Sig. strikes24
Takedowns1
Control1:29
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
