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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Khaos Williams won · S-DEC R3

Elo1512

Elo1466

Khaos WilliamsvsRolando BedoyaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · Saturday, May 6, 2023Newark, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Khaos Williams won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupKhaos Williams: Pressure fightervsRolando Bedoya: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Rolando Bedoya wins(53.0%)

Actual result: Khaos Williams wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rolando Bedoya at +340 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rolando Bedoya enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Rolando Bedoya has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Rolando Bedoya has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Khaos Williams

Red Corner

Rolando Bedoya

Blue Corner

-450

(82%)

Vegas Odds

+340

(23%)

1512

Elo

1466

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

195.58 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Khaos Williams

oldest →

vs Randy Brown · May 22

KOvs Carlston Harris · May 24

SUBvs Gabriel Bonfim · Feb 25

vs Andreas Gustafsson · Jun 25

KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · May 26

latest

Rolando BedoyaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Song Kenan · Aug 23

vs Jai Herbert · Aug 24

vs Jamie Mullarkey · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Khaos WilliamsMetricRolando Bedoya

4.94

Strikes / min

6.23

5.39

Strikes absorbed / min

5.50

40%

Strike defense

52%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

51%

Takedown defense

75%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.45Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap+0.73

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Khaos WilliamsRolando Bedoya

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Khaos Williams(10 fights)Rolando Bedoya(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +46.0|Blue -46.0

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -49.3|Blue +49.3

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Khaos WilliamsTargetRolando Bedoya

By target zone

33% acc · 52%

Head

103

69% acc · 69%

76% acc · 22%

Body

88% acc · 10%

83% acc · 25%

Leg

74% acc · 21%

By position

126

46% acc · 97%

Distance

136

69% acc · 91%

57% acc · 3%

Clinch

100% acc · 9%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Khaos Williams rounds

even

Rolando Bedoya rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes44

Takedowns0

Control0:48

44Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns0

Control0:18

40Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Rolando Bedoya edged it

Sig. strikes47

Takedowns0

Control0:07

65Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

130 / 283

Sig Strikes

149 / 209

45.7%

Sig Str %

71%

131 / 284

Total Strikes

150 / 210

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 2

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:13

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Rolando Bedoya	44 / 56	45 / 57	0 / 1
1	Khaos Williams	44 / 88	45 / 89	0 / 0
2	Rolando Bedoya	40 / 60	40 / 60	0 / 0
2	Khaos Williams	39 / 90	39 / 90	0 / 0
3	Rolando Bedoya	65 / 93	65 / 93	0 / 1
3	Khaos Williams	47 / 105	47 / 105	0 / 0

Khaos Williams

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights9

Rolando Bedoya

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights4