Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Augusto Mendes has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Frankie SaenzL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jul 16W
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 17W
vs Henry Briones · May 18L
KOvs Marlon Vera · Mar 19L
KOvs Jonathan Martinez · Aug 20 Augusto MendesL2 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Feb 16L
vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 17 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Frankie SaenzMetricAugusto Mendes
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+0.44Δ 1.93 — meaningful gap-1.49
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Frankie SaenzAugusto Mendes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Frankie Saenz(10 fights)Augusto Mendes(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -103.7|Blue +103.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +3.2|Blue -3.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -153.0|Blue +153.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Frankie SaenzTargetAugusto Mendes
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Augusto Mendes edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:51Control
Round 2Frankie Saenz edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:48
Knockdowns1
11Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:46Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Augusto Mendes edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns0
Control1:45
15Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:36Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
