Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gian Villante has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tom Lawlor (53.5%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gian VillanteL4 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 19L
SUBvs Maurice Greene · Jun 20L
vs Jake Collier · Dec 20L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Nov 21 Tom Lawlor
oldest →L
SUBvs Chris Weidman · Nov 11W
KOvs Jason MacDonald · May 12L
vs Francis Carmont · Nov 12W
SUBvs Michael Kuiper · Apr 13L
vs Corey Anderson · Mar 16 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gian VillanteMetricTom Lawlor
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-1.09Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gian VillanteTom Lawlor
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gian Villante(10 fights)Tom Lawlor(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -79.7|Blue +79.7
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -742.0|Blue +742.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gian VillanteTargetTom Lawlor
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Gian Villante edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control0:03
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Tom Lawlor edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
1Knockdowns
